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سام
سام
@sumofab •
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۱/ امروز دنبال ترجمه Survivorship bias می گشتم، و با کمال تعجب دیدم صفحه ویکی نداره. این یکی از ساده ترین ولی کارآمد ترین نکات آماریه که همه جا دورو ورمون هست، ولی خیلی ها رو به اشتباه می اندازه. عکس زیر از معروف ترین نمونه های تاریخیشه.
۲/ در جنگ جهانی دوم، ارتش امریکا می خواست تعداد بمب افکن های از دست رفته اش رو کاهش بده. برای این، از هواپیماهایی که بر می گشتن آمار می گرفت که در چه نقاطی تیر خوردن، و به مهندسا می گفت که اون نقاط رو مقاوم تر کنن. اما این تلاش درصد هواپیماهایی که از دست می رفتن رو کم نمی کرد.
۳/ تا اینکه آماردانی به نام Wald رو استخدام کردند. او پیشنهاد کرد که بلعکس، نقاطی که در هواپیماهای برگشتی هیچوقت تیر نخوردن رو باید مقاوم کرد. دلیلش همین 'تعصب بقاست'. نقاطی که هیچ وقت در هواپیماهای برگشته تیر نخوردن، همونهایی ان که اگر تیر خورده بودن هواپیما نمی تونست برگرده.
+ 8 more tweets
Zero HP Lovecraft
Zero HP Lovecraft
@0x49fa98 •
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The theory behind vaccination is that you expose the immune system to a small, benign dose of a disease in order to prime it against future exposures. And now you know why they made you read Orwell and Huxley in high school, to make you roll your eyes at these criticisms later
Basically everyone knows "amusing ourselves to death", but that book only has thesis, antithesis. The synthesis is: Brave New World becomes 1984 as its ponzi scheme economy becomes addicted to fast, meaningless liquidity and state-enforced doublethink becomes primary
Orwell's characters were shallow caricatures because although he understood psychlogy, psychological realism would have diluted the impact of his ideas. The critical clue that BNW and '84 are the same world is this passage:
+ 29 more tweets
Rasmus Kleis Nielsen
Rasmus Kleis Nielsen
@rasmus_kleis •
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JFC. Woke up and learned rather fundamental "free speech ≠ free reach" discussion hasn't penetrated to the NYTimes op-ed editors. Weird mix of both-siderism and neurotic need to offer "contrary view" to choose to use NYT to amplify this, a view already widely expressed online?
But hey, someone who has actually been on the internet later woke up and changed the headline to at least indicate that while the NYTimes may /publish/ people who think giving Minneapolis the full Fallujah treatment is great, it is not the paper's own, explicit, editorial line.
I can't imagine what this was like especially for black NYTimes employees, and across the company and newsroom. And spare a thought for the (black) editor, who just may be thinking "I did NOT need this in my life", but doesn't have a say in decision...
+ 2 more tweets
Mario Nicolau
Mario Nicolau
@JacobinoMario •
Apesar de estar trabalhando em diversos hospitais da linha de frente no combate ao covid-19, tanto públicos quanto privados, tanto urgência quanto uti; não consigo me comover com o drama e o pânico que nossos gestores (prefeito e governador) estão fazendo...não porque o covid-19
não seja uma tragédia, milhares de brasileiros perdendo a vida diariamente (isso é sim uma tragédia e a maior que já presenciamos); mas o motivo talvez seja porque tive minha formação acadêmica toda em hospitais públicos, e após formado, continuo lidando com o SUS diariamente
posso ter adquirido uma maior indiferença quanto a acreditar que os nossos gestores realmente estão comovidos e preocupados com a saúde pública.Quantas vezes,como acadêmico e residente,não peguei uma pilha de pareceres no início do plantão e saí pelo hospital avaliando
+ 9 more tweets
Kehlani
Kehlani
@Kehlani •
with abolutely the deepest respect and love - us “celebrities” have social responsibility not sure it’s the time for US to be organizing events, protests, etc.. the work exists. amplify it. caring a lot is good, placing that care behind strategic radicalized minds, is great.
it’s a redundant point from me i know, but i’m getting peers who really care hitting me up like let’s organize a protest it’s not our place to organize it. unless you been in that space for years with the background, epic we can either be helpful or potentially dangerous
BUT ITS REALLY GREAT THAT WE ALL CARE SO MUCH! lets not endanger our following 🙏?
+ 2 more tweets
All Safe Industries
All Safe Industries
@AllSafeInd •
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We hope everyone is staying #SafeAtHome. In order to provide the products needed to combat the #COVID19 pandemic, our employees are still available to offer the quality service we are known for, even if most employees are working from home.
Stay safe everyone!
Our instrument shop is still operating, both through the mail as well as drop-off orders. To avoid walk-in traffic, please feel free to fill out our service request form online https://www.allsafeindustries.com/Gas-Detector-Service) and call us to arrange equipment transfer once you have arrived at our office.
+ 2 more tweets
Jenn Budd ✊🏻
Jenn Budd ✊🏻
@BuddJenn •
I want to share with you that I have an op-ed thh hv at was submitted to big outlets about the dangers of using CBP and Border Patrol to police Americans. It’s been turned down bc the media feels it’s too conspiratorial to say they have national police aspirations. 1)
2) I am a former Senior Patrol agent. A former Senior Intelligence Agent. I know and lived those intentions. James Tomsheck, former CBP Internal Affairs Commissioner, sat in meetings where Border Patrol discussed how they could become a national police force.
3) CBP needed a national emergency declaration to be able to extend their 100 mile limit. They got that with COVID19. This is why Trump is ordering the country open but not the border, so CBP can extend their areas. They are patrolling our cities as if the are a national
+ 5 more tweets
AFP news agency
AFP news agency
@AFP •
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AFP graphic comparing police and organiser estimates for the turnout at Hong Kong's annual 1989 Tiananmen vigil. Hong Kong police have banned this year's event for the first time in its 30-year history @AFPgraphics
Hong Kong is to mark China's deadly Tiananmen crackdown with candle-light ceremonies after authorities banned a mass vigil http://u.afp.com/3dnc 📸 Isaac Lawrence
VIDEO: Man kneels in front of barriers blocking entry to Victoria Park where Hong Kongers usually gather in large numbers annually on June 4 to mark the anniversary of China's deadly Tiananmen crackdown. This year's vigil has been banned
+ 7 more tweets
Candace Owens
Candace Owens
@RealCandaceO •
Confession: #GeorgeFloyd is neither a martyr or a hero. But I hope his family gets justice.
@RealCandaceO You literally really hate every part of being Black.
@theblckkhaleesi @RealCandaceO To suggest that she hates her own identity because of the sole fact that she disagrees with you is pretty disgusting.
+ 24 more tweets
🤡
🤡
@clowningweeb •
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“What you need isn’t a perfect relationship. It’s someone who will never give up on you.” (weishin/seungchan)
sesuai kode-kodean, yes, spin off from the vow/72 jam AU (makasih namanya lol)
📲 seungwoo to wooseok
+ 101 more tweets
🕉 अपराजिता 🕉
🕉 अपराजिता 🕉
@devbhumi_bharat •
आदि शंकर के ग्रन्थ "मठाम्नाय-सेतु" में इस बात का स्पष्ट उल्लेख नहीं है कि नेपाल किस पीठ के अधीन होगा | पिछले ट्वीट में पुरी पीठ द्वारा प्रकाशित "मठाम्नाय-सेतु" का मैंने डाउनलोड लिंक दिया है, उसमें चारों पीठों के क्षेत्रों का विस्तार से वर्णन है, आदि शंकर ने जानबूझकर तत्कालीन
आर्यावर्त के एक भी भाग का उल्लेख नहीं किया, केवल उन अनार्य क्षेत्रों को पीठों के अधीन बताया जहाँ आर्य संस्कृति को बलवती करना वे अधिक आवश्यक समझते थे | पुरी पीठ के अधीन "अंग बंग कलिंग मगध उत्कल बर्बरा" प्रदेशों का उल्लेख है, किन्तु प्राचीन कल से ही आर्यावर्त में मान्य मिथिला का
उल्लेख नहीं है :-- अङ्ग-बङ्ग-कलिङ्गश्च मगधोत्कल-बर्बरा: | गोवर्धनमठाधीना देशा: प्राची-व्यवस्थिता: || यह कहना गलत होगा कि आदि शंकर मिथिला को मगध का हिस्सा मनते थे क्योंकि उस काल के एक भी ग्रन्थ में ऐसी बात नहीं मिलेगी, बल्कि मिथिला के लोग तो मगध में मरना भी पाप समझते थे |
+ 5 more tweets
Unconstitutional✿Malarkey
Unconstitutional✿Malarkey
@placeholder4abn •
"Abolish the Police" is a concept that seems impossible to a lot of people when they first hear it so to break it down for anyone skeptical:
-We currently have a system wherein officers are trained for a Very Short period of time to know a Huge Volume of laws and regulations for a Huge Variety of situations that often need to be handled delicately -Most importantly/horrifically all of these officers are given weapons
-It goes without saying that we need laws and systems in place to investigate and protect against acts of violence, reckless endangerment to the public, and other injustices -HOWEVER there is absolutely NO REASON why ONE DEPARTMENT should be in charge of all of those things
+ 16 more tweets
Kevin Gannon is waiting to join the meeting
Kevin Gannon is waiting to join the meeting
@TheTattooedProf •
So let's talk about the Insurrection Act of 1807 for a minute, shall we? (1/)
2/ You might be asking yourself, "Self, what the hell was going on in 1807 that necessitated a federal law allowing the president to deploy the US armed forces to suppress insurrection or rebellion?" And that's a good question. Give yourself a pat on the back.
4/ Nope, the fear of "insurrection," and "riot," "tumult," etc., came from enslavers and the slave state political leadership (two classes which overlapped considerably). Why? Well, in 1805, the independent Black republic of Haiti promulgated its first constitution.
+ 23 more tweets
अर्पित भार्गव
अर्पित भार्गव
@mahan_saria •
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कहानी शुरू करते है फ़िल्म बन जाए ऐसी कहानी हैं :- थोड़े समय पहले मेरठ के निकल छोटे से गांव में एक मुस्लिम के खेत मे एक कुत्ता मुँह में इंसानी अंग दबाए इधर उधर भाग रहा था ...खेत के समीप के लोगो ने कुत्ते को इंसानी हड्डी मुँह में दबोचे देखा तो पुलिस को सूचना दी ।। ....
पुलिस ने तुरंत कार्यवाही करते हुए उस मुस्लिम के खेत को खुदवाया तो एक इंसानी लाश बरामद हुई ..पुलिस ने लाश को कब्जे में लेते हुए पोस्टमार्टम के लिए लाश भिजवा दी ..शरीर के इतने सैकड़ो टुकड़े थे जो खेत के अलग अकग स्थानों पे मिले । पोस्टमार्टम ने बताया की लाश लड़की की है और कत्ल हैं।
लाश बुरी तरह सड़ चुकी तो शिनाख्त कैसे होवे ..पुलिस के लिए ये समस्या ..पुलिस जे आसपास के थानों में गुमशुदा लड़कियों की रिपोर्ट खंगाली ..लेकिन निराशा ही हाथ लगी ..पुलिस ने गांव में पूछताछ करी तो भी कुछ पता न चला ..तब मेरठ एसएसपी ने गांव के बाहर अन्य इलाकों में काम करने वाले...
+ 9 more tweets
章立凡 Zhang Lifan
章立凡 Zhang Lifan
@zhanglifan •
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https://p.dw.com/p/3d8wU?maca=zh-Twitter-sharing #DW【图片回顾：31年前支持六四民运的那些香港明星】 31年前中国大陆那场声势浩大的民主运动，开启了香港支持中国民运的先河。包括成龙、谭咏麟、曾志伟在内许多如今为“爱我中华”摇旗呐喊的港星，当年踊跃参与了支持六四学运的活动。有多少当年的同路人、如今已经分道扬镳？
梅艳芳 无疑是89六四香港演艺界明星支持北京民主运动的代表性人物之一。这位红唱着“女人花”、“似水流年”、“胭脂扣”等当时脍炙人口的歌曲而红的发紫的“歌坛大姐大”，在1989年5月底不到一周的时间里，号召举办了聚集了当时港台大量一线巨星的“民主歌声献中华”筹款义唱活动。
当时参与演出的歌手除了梅艳芳以外还包括成龙、邓丽君、沈殿霞、周华健、卢冠廷、钟镇涛、张学友、Beyond、周慧敏、王杰、黄耀明、陈百强等100多名艺人。曾志伟当时参与主持了这场长达12小时的活动，主办方声称共筹得超过1000万港元善款。
+ 11 more tweets
Annika Brockschmidt
Annika Brockschmidt
@ardenthistorian •
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Können wir kurz über Trumps Bildsprache reden? Seine Photo Opp vor der beschmierten Kirche mit Bibel ist eine gezielte Message an seine hardcore evangelikalen Unterstützer: wir befinden uns in einem heiligen Krieg, und nur ich kann ihn gewinnen, denn Gott ist auf meiner Seite.
Er inszeniert sich damit nach ihrem Narrativ: als fehlbarer Messias, ein neuer König David oder Cyrus - er ist der „Auserwählte“. Einflussreiche republikanische Stimmen folgen dieser Rhetorik schon lange.
White Identity Christianity und der Glaube an eine satanische Weltverschwörung, gegen die man ankämpfen muss sind eng verbunden. Diese extreme Gruppe weißer Evangelikaler ist zudem der Meinung, dass dafür zur Not große Opfer gebracht werden müssen
+ 34 more tweets
Sunny Nehra
Sunny Nehra
@sunnynehrabro •
1/ Go through this tweets thread👇(especially don’t miss 11/ in this thread) to understand how persons like @fs0c131y are running #propaganda against our govt apps. It will explain how for famous govt apps claims of #hacking or security issues are made while hiding the #reality
2/ First thing is you have to look like a pro hacker like those you see in movies or web series —> yes you thought it right! You can even use name of a famous fictional character from web series or movies say #ElliotAlderson in #MrRobot web series. How cool that is! Isn’t it?🤔
3/ To look more cool 😎 hacker —> You need some fancy terminal and fancy font. Powerline font and Oh-my-zsh with the Agnoster theme would be cool. —> use curl for making requests to app server (you can even avoid posting the response in case you did not get desired response 😂
+ 12 more tweets
𝙱𝚊𝚋𝚒
𝙱𝚊𝚋𝚒
@AWEONAOJUSTIN •
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In my country, Chile, we spent 6 months in a social outburst, where the police repressed us every day! So, my people from the USA, here are some tips that may be useful to you #BlackLivesMatter h
@halsey I mention you, because you are a person who reaches many people and with an RT you can help a lot THANK YOU FOR EVERYTHING YOU ARE DOING ❤️ #BlackLivesMatter
your clothes always have to be comfortable use long-sleeve shirt to prevent tear gas from adhering to your skin (PLEASE, DO NOT USE MAKEUP OR CREAMS, because it is easier to adhering) wear a hood or mask (Stay safe of the Covid-19 too) #BlackLivesMatter h
+ 29 more tweets

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