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#1: Environmental scanning: Years ago, one of our previous DG's in SA Intelligence, Barry Gilder @bpgilder used to say we have to be "plugged-in" to be able to do intelligence collection. It is still powerful in its simplicity, and also applies to the analysis of intelligence.
#2: I borrowed this metaphor to write a piece, "Building Intelligence Awareness: The Plugged-in Environmental Scanning Model" that I use for training to illustrate how analysts should do environmental scanning.
#4: Step 2: ID relevant issues for investigation/research by applying 5 lenses when u scan through info/OSINT: a) Personal lens: how does this impact on my understanding of an issue - thereby challenging your own mindfulness, biases etc.
#3: Its a 5 step model: Step 1: Conduct a reverse strategic plan: work back from yr org mandate, responsibilities, objectives, to your unit's to your priorities and responsibilities. This ID how u fit in the bigger picture, ID possible gaps, clients, network and collaborators.
#6: d) National lens: What are the national priorities/problems/trends that might have a systemic national/intelligence or organisational impact? e) Global lens: What do these events mean for the global economic/political/legal ecosystem & how is org/national security impacted?
#5: b) Org lens: what impacts on org brief/mandate, will this keep the board/boss awake at night and why? What projects might be impacted by this? Can this reduce org known-unknowns? c) Community lens: who of our wider community stakeholders are impacted by this, how?
#8: 2) Peaking issues that are urgent, warning intelligence in the next 2-8 weeks 3) Upcoming issues that are a potential crisis in next 2-24 months (strategic intel analysis). Would be nice to move the time frame to min 5 years, but decision-makers don't think that far ahead.
#7: Step 3: Prioritise your findings of the above lenses according to urgency and what your client already knows or should know. Each org has its own timeframes of urgency). My priority list: 1) Burning issues that keep my boss angry at day and awake at night for the next week.
#9: 4) Routine issues 5) backburner issues - those that do not fit into any category now, might become a black swan or a smoke puff...
#11: Step 5: Report your findings in the right format to the right client at the right time. Know your clients, how they digest intelligence and YOU adapt to that. Produce the way they digest it. Previously I said you must write the way they read it, but so few DM read nowadays.
#10: Step 4: Collection planning: Where do you get information on these issues so that you don't need to reinvent the wheel? Identify all sources of real news, fake news, opinions, proper scientific research results, evaluate, triangulate, estimate!
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